One side of every one of these is a held price. The plus leg sits wherever the price was posted — an offshore or international book, whichever one is offering it that day — so that side settles the same way every time — nothing for you to report. The minus is whatever your book graded it at, and because both legs went down together the result is the same number either way. If a row ever settles at something other than what it says here, that's a bug worth telling us about, not a bad beat.

Roughly one play in five settles on the plus side. When it does, that money is sitting at the book that held the price — not at the book you withdraw from. Moving it back is the last step of the same loop, and it's what lets the next play use the same bankroll instead of fresh money. Everything above is only listed once a play has actually settled that way.

Confidence is measured from historical results at the same price, not a prediction. 84% means bets priced like this one have come in about 17 times in every 20 — and about 3 times in 20 they haven't. That isn't a mistake, it's the shape of the thing. Bet what you can afford to lose on the 3.